So off to Villa park to play a side that has really gone downhill in recent years. Aston Villa were once considered a very tricky fixture, capable of upsetting many top teams but these days they find themselves in the relegation zone. With 4 points in their last 5 matches and having received a 0-5 hammering from Manchester City last weekend we’ll likely be playing a side that’s desperate to turn it’s luck around and this may make for a decent contest. The Gunners are flying high after their recent form so let’s hope it continues in this fashion for us.
Looking at their style of play, Aston Villa have the potential to cause us problems. They favour an aggressive, pressing approach in a 4-2-3-1 formation, preferring to not allow their opponent time on the ball and this has the potential to disrupt our flowing passing game. However this is a very different Aston Villa team to the one of previous years that was filled with large physical players. The majority of their team is relatively young and against Manchester City the other week they simply bounced off of their midfield when they attempted to play this way. While we don’t have a rampaging beast like Yaya Toure in our side, this still may actually be one of the few matches where our relatively light midfield isn’t simply out-muscled and enjoys some solid possession as a result. But while I do believe we can dominate in the middle and control the game, the real danger will come from Villa’s tactic of playing long balls to their forwards, something that is bound to keep our defense pretty busy. On top of this they have the likes of Agbonlahor on the wing and Darren Bent upfront who’ve both enjoyed some decent games against us in the past. So all in all it’s set to be a busy afternoon for our back 4 and it will be interesting to see who Wenger favours with Gibbs fit and ready to play at left back once more and Koscielny fast returning to his ice-cold best form. As well as this we play the in-form Everton 3 days after and both Sagna and Wilshere are still returning from injury and may struggle with playing so many fixtures.
Offensively we have plenty of players who can hurt Villa. The match just the other week against Manchester United showed their lack of composure, losing the match 2-3 after being up 2-0 at half time, while against Manchester City they were undone time and again by counter-attacks and dominant play through the middle. Their forwards were also caught offside a lot so a well run offside trap may pay dividends against their long ball strategy. I’d like to see Arsenal play slightly conservative early on in this one, keeping possession and exposing any over-eager pressing from the opposition. Even with Walcott out injured we have the players to really hurt them on the fast break in Gibbs, Gervinho and Podolski and this would seem to be an effective way to play without conceding any stupid early goals. A tricky, direct player like Gervinho might also be useful for running into the box and drawing the foul, since they’ve put in plenty of clumsy challenges this season and gave away 2 penalties vs City last week. Overall with Villa’s poor goal-conversion rate and suspect defense, I’m fairly confident we’ll score enough goals to win this match and would much rather see the emphasis on our defense to keep another clean sheet and maintain building confidence in our team from the back.
Expect a bit of rotation in this match from Mr “I don’t rotate my starting eleven” Wenger. Everton cannot be underestimated and since we play them in 3 days time I’d expect Wilshere to be subbed early on for Ramsey and possibly either Vermaelen or Koscielny, as well as Sagna to be rested.
Aston Villa Dangermen: Aston Villa rotate their starting eleven a lot so it’s hard to say who’ll play. Benteke is a powerful goal threat despite only having scored 2 so far this season. Likewise Agbonlahor and Darren Bent can never be underestimated if they start.
Result Prediction: It’s vital we continue our good form and don’t struggle against a team in the relegation zone. I’d expect a fairly strong lineup despite the mid-week appointment vs Everton and this should see a comprehensive victory for us. 3-0 Arsenal.
Predicted Lineup: Szczesny, Jenkinson, Mertesacker, Koscielny, Vermaelen, Gervinho, Arteta, Wilshere, Podolski, Cazorla, Giroud
Conclusion: Aston Villa will attempt to press us high up the pitch and hopefully be reduced to chasing shadows in the middle if our team is focused from the very first minute. Arsenal will attempt to control the game through the center and use Cazorla’s creative nous to create opportunities, while also looking to exploit their aggressive nature by hitting them hard on the break through Podolski. Our defense will try to stay organised and deal with the many long balls forward and it’s vital to not give them space to shoot. Arteta’s steady disciplined presence in the heart of our midfield will be a potential game changer.
Right then, time to get behind the team for this one, looking forward to hearing our mad away fans drowning out the Villain’s home crowd. Come On You Gunners!